League One · 2025/26
2026-04-14 · 19:45
11.8650.1%
X3.3727.6%
24.1722.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bolton
WLDWWWDWDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Stevenage
LLLLLLWLDW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

9.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.00
Against
4.60
12.40
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bolton attack

1.60goals per match
Stevenage conceded1.70
Matchup

Stevenage attack

0.70goals per match
Bolton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.00
Corners against
4.60
12.40
Match total
9.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.90
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.10N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
18.50
Match total
22.50

Shots

18.80N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.50
On target
2.70
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,045
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.1%49.2%-0.9 pp
Draw27.6%29.4%+1.8 pp
Away22.3%21.4%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS51.8%

Historical average

1.510.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
1-012.7%
2-110.2%
2-09.1%
0-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.724.03
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,045.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches345
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT36.2%31.3%–41.4% CI
Draw FT41.4%36.4%–46.7% CI
Away FT22.3%18.2%–27.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals11.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away42.6%