League One · 2025/26
2026-04-14 · 19:45
11.8650.1%
X3.3727.6%
24.1722.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bolton
WLDWWWDWDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Stevenage
LLLLLLWLDW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
9.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.00
Against
4.60
12.40
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bolton attack
1.60goals per matchStevenage conceded1.70Matchup
Stevenage attack
0.70goals per matchBolton conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
9.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.00
Corners against
4.60
12.40
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.90
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.10N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
18.50
Match total
22.50
Shots
18.80N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.50
On target
2.70
9%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,045
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.1%49.2%-0.9 pp
Draw27.6%29.4%+1.8 pp
Away22.3%21.4%-0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS51.8%
Historical average
1.51–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.9%
1-012.7%
2-110.2%
2-09.1%
0-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.72–4.03
Average total9.75
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,045.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.527.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches345
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT36.2%31.3%–41.4% CI
Draw FT41.4%36.4%–46.7% CI
Away FT22.3%18.2%–27.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals11.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away42.6%