League One · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 15:00
11.8151.3%
X3.4526.9%
24.2721.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burton
LWDLWWLLWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
AFC Wimbledon
WLDWDLDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.20N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.20
Against
5.20
11.40
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burton attack
1.40goals per matchAFC Wimbledon conceded1.80Matchup
AFC Wimbledon attack
1.10goals per matchBurton conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.20
11.40
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.60
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
21.60
Match total
23.30
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.10
On target
2.70
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches726
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.3%50.7%-0.6 pp
Draw26.9%29.5%+2.6 pp
Away21.8%19.8%-1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS50.3%
Historical average
1.49–0.93
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.0%
1-113.4%
2-110.7%
0-09.2%
2-08.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.73–4.08
Average total9.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=726.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.528.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches244
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.5%30.7%–42.7% CI
Draw FT42.6%36.6%–48.9% CI
Away FT20.9%16.3%–26.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals11.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.9%
Away42.2%