League One · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 12:30
11.5659.6%
X4.1822.3%
25.1318.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Plymouth
DWWDLWWWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Exeter
WDWDDDLLLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.90
Against
6.10
10.40
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Plymouth attack
1.90goals per matchExeter conceded1.60Matchup
Exeter attack
1.40goals per matchPlymouth conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.10
10.40
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.10
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
23.90
Match total
21.50
Shots
15.00N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
5.90
On target
3.30
13%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches361
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.6%61.8%+2.2 pp
Draw22.3%18.8%-3.4 pp
Away18.1%19.4%+1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.0%
BTTS55.4%
Historical average
2.07–1.02
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-011.4%
1-19.4%
2-18.9%
2-08.9%
1-26.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.19–3.80
Average total9.99
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=361.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches78
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.1%44.1%–65.7% CI
Draw FT30.8%21.6%–41.7% CI
Away FT14.1%8.1%–23.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.9%
2+ goals43.6%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home75.6%
Away35.9%