League One · 2025/26
2026-04-06 · 15:00
12.0744.7%
X3.3627.5%
23.3227.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mansfield
WWDDLLDWDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Burton
LLLLDDLDWL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.00
Against
5.40
10.10
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
2.50
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Mansfield attack

1.60goals per match
Burton conceded1.70
Matchup

Burton attack

0.80goals per match
Mansfield conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.40
10.10
Match total
10.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.10
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
20.70
Match total
22.20

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
5.50
On target
2.60
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches954
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.7%45.0%+0.3 pp
Draw27.5%29.1%+1.6 pp
Away27.8%25.9%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

1.501.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
1-011.0%
2-08.5%
2-18.3%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.624.38
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=954.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches296
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.8%30.6%–41.4% CI
Draw FT38.5%33.2%–44.2% CI
Away FT25.7%21.0%–30.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals39.5%
3+ goals16.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.7%
Away45.3%