League One · 2025/26
2026-04-03 · 15:00
12.3040.5%
X3.6325.7%
22.7533.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Plymouth
LDWWDLWWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Bolton
DLWDWDDWDL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.20
Against
4.20
10.80
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
1.00
3.30
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Plymouth attack

1.90goals per match
Bolton conceded1.00
Matchup

Bolton attack

1.30goals per match
Plymouth conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.20
10.80
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.50
Match total
3.20
100%10/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
23.00
Match total
23.50

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
5.70
On target
4.70
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches312
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.5%36.5%-3.9 pp
Draw25.7%27.6%+1.9 pp
Away33.9%35.9%+2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.537.8%
BTTS60.6%

Historical average

1.511.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.3%
1-28.7%
2-28.3%
1-08.0%
0-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.314.86
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=311.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.6%25.1%–45.4% CI
Draw FT43.2%33.0%–54.1% CI
Away FT22.2%14.5%–32.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.6%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals18.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.6%
Away40.7%