League One · 2025/26
2026-04-03 · 15:00
12.1044.3%
X3.5126.5%
23.1929.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burton
WLWDLWWLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Barnsley
DLLDDLLLWD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.90
Against
6.90
11.70
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
2.20
3.00
Total goals
3.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Burton attack

1.80goals per match
Barnsley conceded2.20
Matchup

Barnsley attack

1.30goals per match
Burton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.90
11.70
Match total
11.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.70
Match total
2.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
21.40
Match total
18.30

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.40
On target
3.70
15%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches682
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.3%43.4%-0.9 pp
Draw26.5%28.7%+2.2 pp
Away29.2%27.9%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.2%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

1.531.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
2-19.7%
1-09.2%
2-27.8%
2-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.424.41
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=682.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.529.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches194
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.6%30.1%–43.6% CI
Draw FT37.1%30.6%–44.1% CI
Away FT26.3%20.6%–32.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals42.8%
3+ goals18.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.6%
Away47.9%