League One · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 15:00
11.9248.5%
X3.2528.7%
24.0922.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stevenage
DDDDWWWWLW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Reading
WDLWLWDWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.80
0.80
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.70
Against
7.20
8.40
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
3.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Stevenage attack

1.20goals per match
Reading conceded1.40
Matchup

Reading attack

1.80goals per match
Stevenage conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.70
Corners against
7.20
8.40
Match total
10.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.20
Match total
3.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
25.80
Match total
22.30

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.80
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches670
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.5%47.3%-1.2 pp
Draw28.7%33.1%+4.5 pp
Away22.8%19.6%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.521.5%
BTTS47.9%

Historical average

1.380.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.0%
1-015.4%
0-010.9%
2-08.8%
2-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.403.88
Average total9.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=669.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.2%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.533.8%
Over 11.525.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches242
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.3%33.3%–45.5% CI
Draw FT43.4%37.3%–49.7% CI
Away FT17.4%13.1%–22.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.8%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.0%
Away37.6%