League One · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 15:00
15.4317.1%
X4.0822.8%
21.5560.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Port Vale
LLWLLDDDLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Bolton
LDLWDWDDWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.60
Against
4.50
11.30
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
2.30
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Port Vale attack
1.00goals per matchBolton conceded1.10Matchup
Bolton attack
1.40goals per matchPort Vale conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.50
11.30
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.60
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
24.20
Match total
22.60
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
3.80
On target
4.60
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches211
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.1%10.0%-7.2 pp
Draw22.8%19.9%-2.9 pp
Away60.0%70.1%+10.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.537.9%
BTTS54.5%
Historical average
0.82–2.14
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-114.2%
1-211.8%
1-110.9%
1-39.5%
0-28.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.98–5.88
Average total9.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=210.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.531.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.1%6.0%–22.9% CI
Draw FT36.2%25.1%–49.1% CI
Away FT51.7%39.2%–64.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.8%
2+ goals41.4%
3+ goals15.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.4%
Away72.4%