League One · 2025/26
2026-03-17 · 19:45
11.6456.8%
X3.8324.3%
24.9318.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
DDWWWDWWDL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Exeter
LLLWDWDDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.80
Against
6.40
10.90
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.10
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Luton attack

2.00goals per match
Exeter conceded1.40
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.30goals per match
Luton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.40
10.90
Match total
10.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.40
Match total
4.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
25.50
Match total
20.80

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.60
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches624
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.8%60.1%+3.3 pp
Draw24.3%23.6%-0.8 pp
Away18.9%16.3%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.528.5%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.840.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.6%
1-011.4%
1-110.3%
2-09.6%
3-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.073.89
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=624.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches188
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT50.5%43.4%–57.6% CI
Draw FT33.0%26.7%–40.0% CI
Away FT16.5%11.9%–22.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.2%
2+ goals38.8%
3+ goals17.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.2%
Away38.8%