League One · 2025/26
2026-03-17 · 19:45
12.2142.1%
X3.3627.7%
23.0830.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burton
LDWLWDLWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Reading
LWDLWLWDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.60
1.30
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.00
Against
7.10
11.90
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Burton attack

1.50goals per match
Reading conceded1.50
Matchup

Reading attack

1.60goals per match
Burton conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.00
Corners against
7.10
11.90
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.30
Match total
3.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
21.50
Match total
22.80

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.00
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches843
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.1%44.4%+2.3 pp
Draw27.7%26.0%-1.7 pp
Away30.2%29.7%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

1.501.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.0%
1-010.3%
2-110.0%
0-07.9%
2-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.554.57
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=843.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches252
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.9%31.2%–43.0% CI
Draw FT39.3%33.5%–45.4% CI
Away FT23.8%19.0%–29.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.4%
2+ goals39.7%
3+ goals16.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.4%
Away42.5%