League One · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 15:00
12.8932.1%
X3.4227.1%
22.2840.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Reading
DLWWWDDWDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Plymouth
WWWDWLWWLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
2.00
1.30
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.80
Against
6.70
8.70
Total
12.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
2.00
1.30
Goals conceded
0.60
3.10
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Reading attack
1.80goals per matchPlymouth conceded0.60Matchup
Plymouth attack
2.00goals per matchReading conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.70
8.70
Match total
12.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.50
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.00N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
20.30
Match total
25.80
Shots
10.50N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.70
On target
5.20
17%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches544
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.1%29.4%-2.7 pp
Draw27.1%29.4%+2.3 pp
Away40.7%41.2%+0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS57.0%
Historical average
1.25–1.54
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.9%
1-29.2%
0-18.5%
2-27.5%
0-07.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.78–5.22
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=543.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.530.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches161
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT24.8%18.8%–32.1% CI
Draw FT38.5%31.3%–46.2% CI
Away FT36.6%29.6%–44.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.37
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals16.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.1%
Away54.0%