League One · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 15:00
12.6335.4%
X3.1929.2%
22.6235.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Northampton
LDWDLLWLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Burton
LDLLLLDDLD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
2.70
Against
5.30
8.70
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Northampton attack

1.10goals per match
Burton conceded1.90
Matchup

Burton attack

0.80goals per match
Northampton conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.30
8.70
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.40
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
22.10
Match total
21.00

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.60
On target
2.70
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,136
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.4%32.4%-3.0 pp
Draw29.2%31.2%+2.0 pp
Away35.5%36.4%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.161.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
0-110.9%
1-09.6%
0-09.1%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.944.83
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,135.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches379
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT28.5%24.2%–33.2% CI
Draw FT41.4%36.6%–46.4% CI
Away FT30.1%25.7%–34.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.8%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.4%
Away50.4%