League One · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 15:00
14.0223.1%
X3.6325.6%
21.8151.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Exeter
WWWWLDDLDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Cardiff
WLDDWDWLWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.80
1.20
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.70
1.80
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.70
Against
3.60
10.00
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Exeter attack
1.10goals per matchCardiff conceded1.30Matchup
Cardiff attack
1.80goals per matchExeter conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
3.60
10.00
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.20
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
20.60
Match total
21.80
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.20
On target
4.40
8%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches303
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.1%23.4%+0.3 pp
Draw25.6%24.1%-1.5 pp
Away51.3%52.5%+1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS61.1%
Historical average
1.10–1.73
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.9%
1-212.5%
0-18.6%
2-17.9%
0-27.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.48–5.42
Average total9.89
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=303.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.527.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches85
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%12.9%–29.7% CI
Draw FT32.9%23.9%–43.5% CI
Away FT47.1%36.8%–57.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.73
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.7%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals22.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.1%
Away69.4%