League One · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 15:00
14.0223.1%
X3.6325.6%
21.8151.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Exeter
WWWWLDDLDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Cardiff
WLDDWDWLWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.80
1.20
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.70
1.80
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.70
Against
3.60
10.00
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.10goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.30
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.80goals per match
Exeter conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
3.60
10.00
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.20
Match total
3.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
20.60
Match total
21.80

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.20
On target
4.40
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches303
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.1%23.4%+0.3 pp
Draw25.6%24.1%-1.5 pp
Away51.3%52.5%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS61.1%

Historical average

1.101.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
1-212.5%
0-18.6%
2-17.9%
0-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.485.42
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=303.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches85
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%12.9%–29.7% CI
Draw FT32.9%23.9%–43.5% CI
Away FT47.1%36.8%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.7%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals22.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.1%
Away69.4%