League One · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 15:00
11.8051.6%
X3.5925.9%
24.1222.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Luton
WDDWWWDWWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Reading
LWLWDLWLWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.70
0.90
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.10
Against
5.40
11.40
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Luton attack
2.00goals per matchReading conceded1.40Matchup
Reading attack
1.70goals per matchLuton conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.40
11.40
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.00
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
24.90
Match total
22.10
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.90
On target
4.30
15%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches557
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.6%48.5%-3.1 pp
Draw25.9%27.3%+1.4 pp
Away22.5%24.2%+1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS52.8%
Historical average
1.62–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.8%
1-010.4%
0-09.2%
2-19.0%
0-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.99–4.25
Average total10.24
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=557.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.544.5%
Over 11.533.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches171
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.0%31.1%–45.5% CI
Draw FT42.7%35.5%–50.2% CI
Away FT19.3%14.1%–25.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.2%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals13.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.6%
Away39.8%