League One · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 15:00
11.8051.6%
X3.5925.9%
24.1222.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
WDDWWWDWWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Reading
LWLWDLWLWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.70
0.90
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.10
Against
5.40
11.40
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Luton attack

2.00goals per match
Reading conceded1.40
Matchup

Reading attack

1.70goals per match
Luton conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.40
11.40
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.00
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
24.90
Match total
22.10

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.90
On target
4.30
15%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches557
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.6%48.5%-3.1 pp
Draw25.9%27.3%+1.4 pp
Away22.5%24.2%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS52.8%

Historical average

1.621.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.8%
1-010.4%
0-09.2%
2-19.0%
0-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.994.25
Average total10.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=557.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.544.5%
Over 11.533.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches171
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.0%31.1%–45.5% CI
Draw FT42.7%35.5%–50.2% CI
Away FT19.3%14.1%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.2%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals13.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away39.8%