League One · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 15:00
12.7134.3%
X3.0730.3%
22.6235.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burton
WLDWLWDLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Stevenage
WDWDLLLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.00
Against
4.00
11.70
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Burton attack

1.60goals per match
Stevenage conceded1.70
Matchup

Stevenage attack

0.90goals per match
Burton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.00
11.70
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.60
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
21.50
Match total
21.40

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
4.00
On target
2.80
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches438
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.3%32.2%-2.1 pp
Draw30.3%32.6%+2.4 pp
Away35.5%35.2%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.0%
BTTS46.3%

Historical average

1.061.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
0-013.0%
0-112.6%
1-010.3%
1-28.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.544.34
Average total8.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=438.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.0%
Over 9.542.7%
Over 10.531.3%
Over 11.520.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches167
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.3%23.0%–36.6% CI
Draw FT44.3%37.0%–51.9% CI
Away FT26.3%20.3%–33.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.9%
2+ goals32.3%
3+ goals13.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.9%
Away40.7%