League One · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 15:00
11.9647.4%
X3.6225.7%
23.4526.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barnsley
WWLLWWDDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Exeter
LLLLWDWDDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.30
1.60
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.40
Against
6.80
9.20
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded
1.40
3.80
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Barnsley attack

2.20goals per match
Exeter conceded1.40
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.30goals per match
Barnsley conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.80
9.20
Match total
10.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.10
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
22.10
Match total
20.70

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.00
On target
3.30
17%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches492
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.4%47.8%+0.4 pp
Draw25.7%26.4%+0.8 pp
Away26.9%25.8%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS57.9%

Historical average

1.671.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.4%
1-111.6%
1-08.1%
2-27.7%
1-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.664.47
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=492.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches127
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.2%32.0%–48.9% CI
Draw FT37.8%29.8%–46.5% CI
Away FT22.0%15.7%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals44.9%
3+ goals19.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.4%
Away44.1%