League One · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 12:30
12.2441.6%
X3.4027.4%
23.0131.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cardiff
WWWWWWDWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Lincoln
DLLDWWDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.70
0.90
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.70
1.80
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.60
Against
4.40
10.50
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
3.50
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Cardiff attack

2.60goals per match
Lincoln conceded1.20
Matchup

Lincoln attack

1.70goals per match
Cardiff conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.40
10.50
Match total
9.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.10
Match total
3.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.50N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
20.40
Match total
22.70

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
6.50
On target
3.60
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches862
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.6%42.9%+1.3 pp
Draw27.4%29.8%+2.4 pp
Away31.0%27.3%-3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.2%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.521.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
1-09.6%
2-19.3%
2-07.7%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.564.61
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=861.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches235
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.5%28.7%–40.8% CI
Draw FT41.3%35.2%–47.7% CI
Away FT24.3%19.2%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.3%
2+ goals44.3%
3+ goals16.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.4%
Away46.4%