League One · 2025/26
2026-03-03 · 19:45
12.3938.9%
X3.3128.1%
22.8133.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Exeter
WDWWWWLDDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Burton
WLDLLLLDDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.30
Against
4.90
9.10
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
2.40
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.30goals per match
Burton conceded1.90
Matchup

Burton attack

0.90goals per match
Exeter conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.90
9.10
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.00
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
22.10
Match total
22.00

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.50
On target
2.90
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches543
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.9%39.2%+0.4 pp
Draw28.1%26.2%-1.9 pp
Away33.1%34.6%+1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS53.0%

Historical average

1.351.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
1-010.9%
1-210.3%
0-19.0%
2-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.124.52
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=543.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.550.1%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.525.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches169
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.5%25.9%–39.9% CI
Draw FT34.9%28.1%–42.4% CI
Away FT32.5%25.9%–39.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.3%
2+ goals45.6%
3+ goals20.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.6%
Away52.7%