League One · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 15:00
11.7054.9%
X3.9823.5%
24.3221.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reading
WDWDDWDWWL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Barnsley
LLLWWLLDLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
0.50
Conceded
2.20
20%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.30
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.20
Against
6.00
9.30
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
0.50
Goals conceded
2.20
1.60
Total goals
3.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Reading attack

1.10goals per match
Barnsley conceded2.20
Matchup

Barnsley attack

1.30goals per match
Reading conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.00
9.30
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.00
Match total
2.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
24.30
Match total
20.70

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.70
On target
5.00
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches204
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.9%55.9%+1.0 pp
Draw23.5%23.5%+0.1 pp
Away21.6%20.6%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.539.2%
BTTS63.2%

Historical average

1.971.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
2-112.3%
2-08.3%
1-06.4%
3-16.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.254.30
Average total10.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=204.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.1%
Over 9.560.8%
Over 10.546.1%
Over 11.536.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%26.3%–55.4% CI
Draw FT37.5%24.2%–53.0% CI
Away FT22.5%12.3%–37.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.0%
2+ goals57.5%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.0%
Away57.5%