League One · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 15:00
11.9348.4%
X3.6425.7%
23.6125.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mansfield
LLLLDWLLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Exeter
DLWLDDDWWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
2.00
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.50
Against
6.30
8.40
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
2.00
Goals conceded
1.40
3.10
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Mansfield attack

1.10goals per match
Exeter conceded1.40
Matchup

Exeter attack

0.90goals per match
Mansfield conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.30
8.40
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.20
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
23.00
Match total
24.50

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.00
On target
2.40
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches577
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.4%48.9%+0.4 pp
Draw25.7%26.5%+0.8 pp
Away25.9%24.6%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.532.6%
BTTS57.4%

Historical average

1.711.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.8%
2-110.2%
1-09.0%
2-07.3%
2-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.684.37
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=577.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.529.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches147
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.0%26.8%–42.0% CI
Draw FT40.8%33.2%–48.9% CI
Away FT25.2%18.8%–32.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals21.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.8%
Away47.6%