League One · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 15:00
11.5958.6%
X3.9123.8%
25.2817.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Charlton
WWWWWWWWDW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Burton
WDLWWLWLLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.80
0.50
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.60
1.40
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.30
Against
4.60
9.50
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.80
0.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Charlton attack

2.10goals per match
Burton conceded1.10
Matchup

Burton attack

0.80goals per match
Charlton conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.60
9.50
Match total
8.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.60
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
22.80
Match total
21.70

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
5.60
On target
2.60
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches298
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.6%61.7%+3.2 pp
Draw23.8%21.5%-2.3 pp
Away17.6%16.8%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.780.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.4%
2-011.7%
2-111.4%
1-19.7%
3-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.143.63
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=298.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches89
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.6%40.4%–60.7% CI
Draw FT32.6%23.7%–42.9% CI
Away FT16.9%10.5%–26.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.9%
2+ goals33.7%
3+ goals13.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.0%
Away38.2%