League One · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 15:00
12.0345.9%
X3.5026.6%
23.4027.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bolton
DLWWWWLWLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Stevenage
LLWWLDLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.60
1.40
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.60
2.00
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.60
Against
5.80
9.00
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Bolton attack

1.60goals per match
Stevenage conceded1.30
Matchup

Stevenage attack

0.60goals per match
Bolton conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.80
9.00
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.40
Match total
2.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
27.20
Match total
21.30

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
4.90
On target
2.50
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches497
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.9%46.1%+0.1 pp
Draw26.6%29.0%+2.3 pp
Away27.4%24.9%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS51.1%

Historical average

1.451.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.7%
1-112.5%
2-110.1%
0-08.5%
2-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.464.56
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=497.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches174
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT42.0%34.9%–49.4% CI
Draw FT34.5%27.8%–41.8% CI
Away FT23.6%17.9%–30.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals37.4%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.2%
Away42.0%