League One · 2024/25
2025-04-24 · 19:45
14.0423.1%
X3.4926.7%
21.8650.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stevenage
LWLWDLLDWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Birmingham
DWDWDLDWWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
0.70
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.10
Against
4.50
7.90
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
0.90
3.00
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Stevenage attack

1.50goals per match
Birmingham conceded0.90
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.40goals per match
Stevenage conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.50
7.90
Match total
8.40
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.60
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
24.70
Match total
26.90

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
3.70
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches214
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.1%25.7%+2.6 pp
Draw26.7%25.2%-1.5 pp
Away50.2%49.1%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.520.1%
BTTS43.9%

Historical average

0.941.51

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.7%
1-011.2%
0-111.2%
0-210.3%
0-09.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.245.76
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=214.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.4%12.0%–30.0% CI
Draw FT41.7%31.0%–53.2% CI
Away FT38.9%28.5%–50.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals34.7%
3+ goals9.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.5%
Away54.2%