League One · 2024/25
2025-04-21 · 15:00
11.5659.8%
X3.8524.2%
25.8216.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Northampton
LWLWLDDLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Shrewsbury
LLLWDLLLDD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.60
1.40
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.50
Against
7.80
8.40
Total
11.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Northampton attack
0.80goals per matchShrewsbury conceded1.50Matchup
Shrewsbury attack
0.60goals per matchNorthampton conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.50
Corners against
7.80
8.40
Match total
11.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.00
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
21.40
Match total
23.20
Shots
9.50N=10
Shots
6.30N=10
2.80
On target
2.00
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches203
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.8%67.0%+7.2 pp
Draw24.2%21.2%-3.0 pp
Away16.0%11.8%-4.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS40.9%
Historical average
1.76–0.68
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-019.2%
2-012.3%
2-111.3%
3-09.9%
0-08.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.79–3.44
Average total9.24
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=203.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.546.3%
Over 10.531.5%
Over 11.522.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT59.7%47.7%–70.6% CI
Draw FT32.8%22.8%–44.7% CI
Away FT7.5%3.2%–16.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals28.4%
3+ goals13.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.7%
Away22.4%