League One · 2024/25
2025-04-21 · 15:00
14.1622.5%
X3.8724.1%
21.7553.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burton
LDLWWDDLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Birmingham
WDWDWDLDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
0.70
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.70
Against
4.60
9.20
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
0.80
3.20
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Burton attack

1.80goals per match
Birmingham conceded0.80
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.30goals per match
Burton conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.60
9.20
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.70
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
20.60
Match total
26.60

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.60
On target
3.30
15%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.5%22.7%+0.3 pp
Draw24.1%21.6%-2.6 pp
Away53.4%55.7%+2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

1.021.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-217.0%
1-211.4%
0-110.2%
0-09.1%
2-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.345.82
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.4%3.2%–24.2% CI
Draw FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI
Away FT56.3%39.3%–71.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals62.5%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home31.3%
Away68.8%