League One · 2024/25
2025-04-18 · 15:00
12.1942.7%
X3.4027.5%
23.1329.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reading
LWDWDDWDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Lincoln
LLWDLWLLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.50
Against
5.00
8.40
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
1.90
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Reading attack

1.20goals per match
Lincoln conceded1.60
Matchup

Lincoln attack

1.20goals per match
Reading conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.00
8.40
Match total
8.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
23.30
Match total
22.70

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
3.60
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,082
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.7%44.3%+1.6 pp
Draw27.5%28.5%+1.0 pp
Away29.9%27.3%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS53.4%

Historical average

1.461.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
1-011.4%
2-110.9%
2-08.0%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.404.48
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,082.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches331
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT37.8%32.7%–43.1% CI
Draw FT38.1%33.0%–43.4% CI
Away FT24.2%19.9%–29.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals12.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.2%
Away41.4%