League One · 2024/25
2025-04-18 · 15:00
11.3171.3%
X5.2517.8%
28.6110.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Birmingham
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Crawley Town
DLLWLLLLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
1.60
0.50
Conceded
2.80
50%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
2.10
1.80
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
2.40
Against
5.70
10.20
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.60
0.50
Goals conceded
2.80
2.90
Total goals
4.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Birmingham attack
2.40goals per matchCrawley Town conceded2.80Matchup
Crawley Town attack
1.60goals per matchBirmingham conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
2.40
Corners against
5.70
10.20
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.80
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
24.40
Match total
20.10
Shots
16.70N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
6.10
On target
4.20
14%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches264
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.3%72.0%+0.6 pp
Draw17.8%19.3%+1.5 pp
Away10.9%8.7%-2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS53.8%
Historical average
2.33–0.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.1%
2-011.4%
3-010.6%
1-09.5%
1-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
7.31–3.39
Average total10.70
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=264.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.6%
Over 9.559.5%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.538.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches64
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%44.1%–67.7% CI
Draw FT39.1%28.1%–51.3% CI
Away FT4.7%1.6%–12.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.61
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.6%
2+ goals53.1%
3+ goals23.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home75.0%
Away32.8%