League One · 2024/25
2025-04-18 · 13:00
12.7134.5%
X3.2828.5%
22.5337.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Exeter
DLLLDWWLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Burton
DWDLWWLWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.90
2.10
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.70
1.70
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.30
Against
4.70
9.20
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
2.10
Goals conceded
1.20
3.50
Total goals
2.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.40goals per match
Burton conceded1.20
Matchup

Burton attack

0.90goals per match
Exeter conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
1.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.70
9.20
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.20
Match total
4.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
25.20
Match total
20.40

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
3.80
On target
2.70
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches921
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.5%31.1%-3.5 pp
Draw28.5%29.5%+1.0 pp
Away37.0%39.4%+2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.131.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
0-111.5%
0-09.2%
2-18.8%
1-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.024.79
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=921.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches306
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT28.8%24.0%–34.1% CI
Draw FT40.2%34.9%–45.8% CI
Away FT31.0%26.1%–36.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals14.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.8%
Away50.3%