League One · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 15:00
12.3439.8%
X3.4427.1%
22.8233.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Northampton
DLWLWLDDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Reading
LWDLLDWDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.30
Against
6.90
8.50
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.20
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Northampton attack

0.80goals per match
Reading conceded1.40
Matchup

Reading attack

1.10goals per match
Northampton conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.90
8.50
Match total
11.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.20
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
21.30
Match total
19.90

Shots

9.50N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
2.80
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches573
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.8%40.3%+0.5 pp
Draw27.1%26.5%-0.6 pp
Away33.1%33.2%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS57.6%

Historical average

1.461.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
2-19.6%
1-29.4%
1-07.9%
2-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.394.68
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=572.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.8%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches159
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.7%30.6%–45.5% CI
Draw FT37.1%30.0%–44.8% CI
Away FT25.2%19.1%–32.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals50.3%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.9%
Away50.3%