League One · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 15:00
11.7154.5%
X3.6725.4%
24.6420.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Stevenage
WWLWLWDLLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Crawley Town
LDLLWLLLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
2.80
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
2.10
1.40
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.10
Against
5.90
9.20
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
2.80
2.70
Total goals
4.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Stevenage attack
1.50goals per matchCrawley Town conceded2.80Matchup
Crawley Town attack
1.50goals per matchStevenage conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.90
9.20
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.00
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
26.00
Match total
20.30
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
3.90
On target
4.10
13%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches686
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.5%58.9%+4.4 pp
Draw25.4%23.9%-1.5 pp
Away20.1%17.2%-2.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.525.1%
BTTS49.0%
Historical average
1.72–0.87
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.7%
2-113.0%
2-011.8%
1-111.1%
0-07.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.96–3.92
Average total9.89
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=686.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.530.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches221
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT46.2%39.7%–52.7% CI
Draw FT38.9%32.7%–45.5% CI
Away FT14.9%10.8%–20.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals45.2%
3+ goals14.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.1%
Away38.5%