League One · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 15:00
11.3569.2%
X4.8319.3%
28.1711.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Birmingham
DWWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Barnsley
WWLLLWWLLD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.30
0.30
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
2.60
Against
5.10
9.70
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.30
0.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Birmingham attack
1.80goals per matchBarnsley conceded1.40Matchup
Barnsley attack
1.30goals per matchBirmingham conceded0.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
2.60
Corners against
5.10
9.70
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.80
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
25.30
Match total
22.20
Shots
15.20N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
5.60
On target
5.00
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches142
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.2%79.6%+10.4 pp
Draw19.3%11.3%-8.1 pp
Away11.4%9.2%-2.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.533.1%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
2.45–0.71
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.2%
2-014.1%
1-012.0%
3-07.7%
4-15.6%
Comparable corner averages
7.13–3.28
Average total10.41
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=142.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.537.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.3%54.2%–82.5% CI
Draw FT16.2%7.7%–31.1% CI
Away FT13.5%5.9%–28.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.54
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.5%
2+ goals45.9%
3+ goals18.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.4%
Away24.3%