League One · 2024/25
2025-04-01 · 19:45
12.6435.5%
X3.3128.3%
22.5936.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Northampton
LDLWLWLDDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Rotherham
LLWDLLDLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.80
1.70
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.30
Against
4.80
8.60
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Northampton attack
0.80goals per matchRotherham conceded1.30Matchup
Rotherham attack
0.80goals per matchNorthampton conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.80
8.60
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.30
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
21.90
Match total
23.00
Shots
9.20N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
2.60
On target
4.20
9%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches934
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.5%32.2%-3.3 pp
Draw28.3%30.0%+1.7 pp
Away36.2%37.8%+1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS53.6%
Historical average
1.18–1.31
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.2%
0-111.3%
1-09.6%
1-28.4%
2-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.02–4.80
Average total9.82
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=934.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.528.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches301
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT29.6%24.7%–35.0% CI
Draw FT38.2%32.9%–43.8% CI
Away FT32.2%27.2%–37.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.7%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals13.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.8%
Away54.2%