League One · 2024/25
2025-04-01 · 19:45
11.8849.9%
X3.6725.6%
23.8224.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barnsley
LLWWLDLWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Exeter
WLLDLWLDDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.70
1.70
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
2.00
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.60
Against
5.80
10.10
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Barnsley attack

1.20goals per match
Exeter conceded1.30
Matchup

Exeter attack

0.70goals per match
Barnsley conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.80
10.10
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.70
Match total
4.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
18.00
Match total
24.90

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.50
On target
2.10
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches559
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.9%50.6%+0.7 pp
Draw25.6%25.8%+0.2 pp
Away24.6%23.6%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.531.1%
BTTS57.4%

Historical average

1.721.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
2-19.7%
1-08.8%
2-08.6%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.954.29
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=559.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.534.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches147
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%35.1%–50.9% CI
Draw FT38.1%30.6%–46.2% CI
Away FT19.0%13.5%–26.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals22.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.6%
Away42.9%