League One · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 15:00
11.7254.1%
X3.5925.9%
24.6420.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rotherham
WWLDWWWLLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Exeter
LLWLLDLWLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.60
1.00
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
2.90
Against
5.10
8.60
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Rotherham attack

1.70goals per match
Exeter conceded1.70
Matchup

Exeter attack

0.60goals per match
Rotherham conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
2.90
Corners against
5.10
8.60
Match total
8.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.00
Match total
4.60
20%2/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
25.60
Match total
24.60

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
4.70
On target
2.10
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches677
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.1%59.1%+5.0 pp
Draw25.9%23.3%-2.6 pp
Away20.0%17.6%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS45.9%

Historical average

1.700.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.2%
2-011.4%
2-111.4%
1-110.3%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.963.95
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=677.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches227
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT45.8%39.5%–52.3% CI
Draw FT37.9%31.8%–44.3% CI
Away FT16.3%12.1%–21.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals41.4%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.6%
Away37.0%