League One · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 15:00
12.4038.8%
X3.2228.9%
22.8932.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reading
LWWLWDWDDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Stevenage
DDDWWLLWWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.50
1.30
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.00
Against
5.90
8.50
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
2.30
Total goals
1.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Reading attack

1.30goals per match
Stevenage conceded0.90
Matchup

Stevenage attack

0.80goals per match
Reading conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.90
8.50
Match total
11.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.30
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
23.00
Match total
21.60

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.60
On target
3.20
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches743
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%38.5%-0.3 pp
Draw28.9%31.2%+2.3 pp
Away32.2%30.3%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS47.6%

Historical average

1.191.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
1-011.8%
0-010.9%
0-110.4%
2-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.164.45
Average total9.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=743.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.527.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches271
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.7%22.7%–33.3% CI
Draw FT43.9%38.1%–49.9% CI
Away FT28.4%23.4%–34.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.5%
Away46.9%