League One · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 15:00
15.1318.2%
X3.6225.7%
21.6656.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Northampton
DWLDLWLWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Birmingham
LWWWDWDWDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.30
Against
4.40
9.30
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
0.90
2.40
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Northampton attack

0.90goals per match
Birmingham conceded0.90
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.40goals per match
Northampton conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.40
9.30
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.90
Match total
4.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
21.20
Match total
26.80

Shots

8.20N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
2.60
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches112
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.2%15.2%-3.0 pp
Draw25.7%26.8%+1.1 pp
Away56.1%58.0%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

0.761.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.2%
0-215.2%
1-111.6%
1-29.8%
0-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

3.625.66
Average total9.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=112.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.2%5.8%–27.3% CI
Draw FT36.8%23.4%–52.7% CI
Away FT50.0%34.8%–65.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home28.9%
Away65.8%