League One · 2024/25
2025-03-11 · 20:00
13.1030.1%
X3.3727.7%
22.2142.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reading
WLWWLWDWDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Wrexham
DLWDLLWWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.10
Against
4.40
9.00
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.40
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Reading attack

1.40goals per match
Wrexham conceded1.00
Matchup

Wrexham attack

1.30goals per match
Reading conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.40
9.00
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
4.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
23.00
Match total
20.70

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.10
On target
3.00
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches661
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.1%27.2%-2.9 pp
Draw27.7%25.7%-2.0 pp
Away42.2%47.0%+4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS55.2%

Historical average

1.141.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
1-210.9%
0-110.1%
1-08.0%
0-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.925.16
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=661.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.533.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches193
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.5%22.6%–35.2% CI
Draw FT33.2%26.9%–40.1% CI
Away FT38.3%31.8%–45.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.2%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals22.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.2%
Away58.0%