League One · 2024/25
2025-03-11 · 19:45
12.9731.5%
X3.3527.9%
22.3040.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Exeter
LDLWDLLLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Mansfield
DWLWLLLDDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.40
2.30
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.90
2.10
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
5.70N=10
5.10
Against
3.90
9.20
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.40
2.30
Goals conceded
1.60
4.00
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.70goals per match
Mansfield conceded1.60
Matchup

Mansfield attack

1.40goals per match
Exeter conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
1.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
5.10
Corners against
3.90
9.20
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.50
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
26.20
Match total
26.60

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
3.70
On target
4.10
17%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches591
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.5%31.1%-0.3 pp
Draw27.9%23.7%-4.2 pp
Away40.6%45.2%+4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS50.1%

Historical average

1.101.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-111.7%
1-111.5%
1-010.8%
1-210.0%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.725.21
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=591.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches197
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.5%27.3%–40.4% CI
Draw FT34.5%28.2%–41.4% CI
Away FT32.0%25.9%–38.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.8%
Away48.2%