League One · 2024/25
2025-03-11 · 19:45
12.9731.5%
X3.3527.9%
22.3040.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Exeter
LDLWDLLLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Mansfield
DWLWLLLDDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.40
2.30
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.90
2.10
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
5.70N=10
5.10
Against
3.90
9.20
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.40
2.30
Goals conceded
1.60
4.00
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Exeter attack
1.70goals per matchMansfield conceded1.60Matchup
Mansfield attack
1.40goals per matchExeter conceded2.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
1.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
5.10
Corners against
3.90
9.20
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.50
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
26.20
Match total
26.60
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
3.70
On target
4.10
17%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches591
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.5%31.1%-0.3 pp
Draw27.9%23.7%-4.2 pp
Away40.6%45.2%+4.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS50.1%
Historical average
1.10–1.42
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-111.7%
1-111.5%
1-010.8%
1-210.0%
0-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.72–5.21
Average total9.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=591.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.530.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches197
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.5%27.3%–40.4% CI
Draw FT34.5%28.2%–41.4% CI
Away FT32.0%25.9%–38.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals15.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.8%
Away48.2%