League One · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 12:30
14.7119.9%
X4.0823.0%
21.6457.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Exeter
WDLWLDDWDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Oxford
WWLDDLLWDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.70
Against
6.20
10.40
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.00goals per match
Oxford conceded1.40
Matchup

Oxford attack

1.50goals per match
Exeter conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.20
10.40
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.50
Match total
3.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
22.60
Match total
21.10

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.70
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches129
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.9%17.1%-2.8 pp
Draw23.0%28.7%+5.7 pp
Away57.1%54.3%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

1.051.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
0-211.6%
0-110.9%
2-28.5%
1-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.915.84
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=129.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.2%10.7%–37.8% CI
Draw FT24.2%12.8%–41.0% CI
Away FT54.5%38.0%–70.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals42.4%
3+ goals30.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away72.7%