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League One · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 12:30

Derby

vs

Carlisle

11.2177.5%
X6.2814.9%
212.337.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
WWDWLWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Carlisle
LLLLWLLWLW
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.30
Against
4.90
9.80
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.80goals per match
Carlisle conceded1.60
Matchup

Carlisle attack

1.20goals per match
Derby conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.90
9.80
Match total
8.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.20
Match total
2.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
8.50N=10
24.20
Match total
17.90

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.10
On target
2.90
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches102
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.5%85.3%+7.8 pp
Draw14.9%8.8%-6.1 pp
Away7.6%5.9%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.539.2%
BTTS45.1%

Historical average

2.65–0.59

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-015.7%
2-113.7%
3-112.7%
3-010.8%
4-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.91–3.21
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=102.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.2%41.0%–80.9% CI
Draw FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Away FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.95

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals63.2%
3+ goals26.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.7%
Away36.8%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamDerbyForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamCarlisleForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareDerby vs CarlisleCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionLeague OneLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsLeague One team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.