League One · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 12:30
11.4465.2%
X4.7119.9%
26.3314.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barnsley
WWLWWDLDLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Northampton
WLLDWLDLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
1.70
Conceded
2.30
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.90
1.90
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.70
Against
5.00
10.40
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.70
Goals conceded
2.30
3.10
Total goals
3.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Barnsley attack

1.40goals per match
Northampton conceded2.30
Matchup

Northampton attack

1.30goals per match
Barnsley conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.00
10.40
Match total
7.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.60
Match total
3.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
19.20
Match total
20.00

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
5.70
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches168
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.2%59.5%-5.7 pp
Draw19.9%28.0%+8.0 pp
Away14.8%12.5%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

2.280.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-010.1%
1-110.1%
2-19.5%
1-06.5%
3-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.433.41
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=168.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.2%21.2%–50.1% CI
Draw FT55.3%39.7%–69.9% CI
Away FT10.5%4.2%–24.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.03

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal55.3%
2+ goals34.2%
3+ goals7.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.7%
Away28.9%