League One · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:00
13.2428.8%
X3.2628.7%
22.2042.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cheltenham
DWLWWDLLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Lincoln
LLDWDWWWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
1.70
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.60
Against
5.90
9.10
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded
1.00
3.00
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cheltenham attack

1.30goals per match
Lincoln conceded1.00
Matchup

Lincoln attack

1.60goals per match
Cheltenham conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.90
9.10
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.90
Match total
5.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
24.60
Match total
24.00

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.00
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches522
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.8%27.4%-1.5 pp
Draw28.7%27.0%-1.7 pp
Away42.5%45.6%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS45.4%

Historical average

0.991.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.8%
1-111.9%
1-010.9%
0-010.2%
1-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.584.90
Average total9.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=522.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.524.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches181
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT23.2%17.7%–29.9% CI
Draw FT41.4%34.5%–48.7% CI
Away FT35.4%28.8%–42.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.7%
2+ goals35.4%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.9%
Away51.4%