League One · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:00
13.2428.8%
X3.2628.7%
22.2042.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cheltenham
DWLWWDLLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Lincoln
LLDWDWWWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.60
1.70
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.60
Against
5.90
9.10
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded
1.00
3.00
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cheltenham attack
1.30goals per matchLincoln conceded1.00Matchup
Lincoln attack
1.60goals per matchCheltenham conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.90
9.10
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.90
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
24.60
Match total
24.00
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.00
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches522
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.8%27.4%-1.5 pp
Draw28.7%27.0%-1.7 pp
Away42.5%45.6%+3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS45.4%
Historical average
0.99–1.36
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.8%
1-111.9%
1-010.9%
0-010.2%
1-28.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.58–4.90
Average total9.47
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=522.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.524.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches181
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT23.2%17.7%–29.9% CI
Draw FT41.4%34.5%–48.7% CI
Away FT35.4%28.8%–42.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.7%
2+ goals35.4%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.9%
Away51.4%