League One · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:00
15.5816.8%
X3.9723.6%
21.5759.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cambridge
WLWDLLLDWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Derby
WDLWWLWLDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
0.70
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

2.50N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.80
Against
4.70
7.30
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
0.70
2.00
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Cambridge attack

1.00goals per match
Derby conceded0.70
Matchup

Derby attack

1.30goals per match
Cambridge conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.50N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.70
7.30
Match total
10.80
30%3/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.20
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
8.80N=10
23.30
Match total
20.40

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.20
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches81
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.8%11.1%-5.7 pp
Draw23.6%16.0%-7.5 pp
Away59.6%72.8%+13.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.529.6%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

0.801.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-219.8%
0-118.5%
1-311.1%
0-29.9%
1-16.2%

Comparable corner averages

3.746.22
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=81.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.8%5.5%–30.6% CI
Draw FT17.2%7.6%–34.5% CI
Away FT69.0%50.8%–82.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.7%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals17.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.9%
Away75.9%