League One · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:00
11.3967.2%
X4.4920.8%
27.7412.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bolton
WWDWDWWWDD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Port Vale
LLLLLDWLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
0.40
1.00
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.70
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
8.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.10
Against
6.20
11.80
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
3.30
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bolton attack
2.30goals per matchPort Vale conceded1.80Matchup
Port Vale attack
0.40goals per matchBolton conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.70N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.20
11.80
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.90
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.20N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
22.00
Match total
21.20
Shots
17.10N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
6.40
On target
2.70
13%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches160
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.2%76.9%+9.7 pp
Draw20.8%12.5%-8.3 pp
Away12.1%10.6%-1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS35.0%
Historical average
2.01–0.57
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-020.0%
2-015.6%
2-111.9%
3-09.4%
1-16.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.38–3.68
Average total10.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=160.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.529.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT69.1%56.0%–79.7% CI
Draw FT14.5%7.6%–26.2% CI
Away FT16.4%8.9%–28.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.65
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.7%
2+ goals41.8%
3+ goals23.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.2%
Away34.5%