League One · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:00
11.3967.2%
X4.4920.8%
27.7412.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bolton
WWDWDWWWDD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Port Vale
LLLLLDWLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.40
1.00
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.10
Against
6.20
11.80
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
3.30
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Bolton attack

2.30goals per match
Port Vale conceded1.80
Matchup

Port Vale attack

0.40goals per match
Bolton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.70N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.20
11.80
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.90
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
22.00
Match total
21.20

Shots

17.10N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
6.40
On target
2.70
13%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches160
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.2%76.9%+9.7 pp
Draw20.8%12.5%-8.3 pp
Away12.1%10.6%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS35.0%

Historical average

2.010.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.0%
2-015.6%
2-111.9%
3-09.4%
1-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.383.68
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=160.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT69.1%56.0%–79.7% CI
Draw FT14.5%7.6%–26.2% CI
Away FT16.4%8.9%–28.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.7%
2+ goals41.8%
3+ goals23.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.2%
Away34.5%