League One · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 14:00
12.5237.2%
X3.2828.5%
22.7334.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Northampton
WDLDWDLWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Exeter
LWWWLLWWDW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.70
0.70
Conceded
1.20
10%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
6.90N=10
5.20
Against
6.60
9.60
Total
13.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
1.90
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Northampton attack

1.20goals per match
Exeter conceded1.20
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.70goals per match
Northampton conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.60
9.60
Match total
13.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.60
Match total
4.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
21.00
Match total
21.00

Shots

8.90N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
2.90
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches715
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.2%35.8%-1.4 pp
Draw28.5%29.0%+0.4 pp
Away34.3%35.2%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

1.271.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
1-010.5%
1-29.7%
0-19.5%
2-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.124.56
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=715.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches227
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.6%26.8%–38.9% CI
Draw FT38.3%32.2%–44.8% CI
Away FT29.1%23.6%–35.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.5%
2+ goals42.3%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.6%
Away52.0%