League One · 2023/24
2024-04-16 · 19:45
11.9947.1%
X3.5726.3%
23.5326.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Oxford
LLDDWDLWWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Lincoln
DLLDWDWWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
1.00
80%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.00
Against
5.70
9.30
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.00
3.70
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Oxford attack

2.30goals per match
Lincoln conceded1.00
Matchup

Lincoln attack

1.50goals per match
Oxford conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.70
9.30
Match total
9.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.40
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
21.30
Match total
24.00

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
6.20
On target
3.40
16%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches519
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.1%46.2%-0.9 pp
Draw26.3%27.7%+1.5 pp
Away26.6%26.0%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.529.9%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

1.611.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.1%
1-010.0%
2-18.7%
0-07.7%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.514.56
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=519.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches150
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.0%28.8%–43.9% CI
Draw FT41.3%33.8%–49.3% CI
Away FT22.7%16.7%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals43.3%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.3%
Away44.7%