League One · 2023/24
2024-04-16 · 19:45
12.3539.9%
X3.0630.6%
23.1829.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burton
WDWLLLLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Cheltenham
LLLWDLLDWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.70
1.60
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.60
1.50
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.50
Against
6.00
8.70
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.20
Total goals
2.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Burton attack

0.60goals per match
Cheltenham conceded1.30
Matchup

Cheltenham attack

0.70goals per match
Burton conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.00
8.70
Match total
9.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.20
Match total
3.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
22.00
Match total
21.40

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.10
On target
2.80
5%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches691
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%40.4%+0.5 pp
Draw30.6%30.4%-0.2 pp
Away29.5%29.2%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.517.7%
BTTS49.6%

Historical average

1.241.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
1-011.6%
0-010.1%
2-110.0%
1-29.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.874.20
Average total9.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=691.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.1%
Over 9.541.2%
Over 10.531.7%
Over 11.522.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches256
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.0%28.5%–40.0% CI
Draw FT41.0%35.2%–47.1% CI
Away FT25.0%20.1%–30.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals39.5%
3+ goals18.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.9%
Away45.3%