League One · 2023/24
2024-04-16 · 19:45
11.3071.9%
X5.2018.0%
29.2910.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bolton
WWWDWDWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Shrewsbury
LLLWDWLWDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.20
Against
5.50
10.90
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.40
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bolton attack

2.40goals per match
Shrewsbury conceded1.50
Matchup

Shrewsbury attack

1.00goals per match
Bolton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.50
10.90
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.10
Match total
4.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
23.50
Match total
25.40

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.60
On target
2.90
15%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches134
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.9%78.4%+6.4 pp
Draw18.0%14.2%-3.8 pp
Away10.1%7.5%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.535.8%
BTTS40.3%

Historical average

2.280.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.4%
2-014.9%
2-110.4%
4-09.0%
3-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.283.10
Average total10.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=134.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%51.0%–79.4% CI
Draw FT28.2%16.5%–43.8% CI
Away FT5.1%1.4%–16.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.5%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home74.4%
Away20.5%