League One · 2023/24
2024-04-16 · 19:45
11.3071.9%
X5.2018.0%
29.2910.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bolton
WWWDWDWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Shrewsbury
LLLWDWLWDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
7.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.20
Against
5.50
10.90
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.40
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bolton attack
2.40goals per matchShrewsbury conceded1.50Matchup
Shrewsbury attack
1.00goals per matchBolton conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.50
10.90
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.10
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
23.50
Match total
25.40
Shots
15.60N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.60
On target
2.90
15%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches134
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.9%78.4%+6.4 pp
Draw18.0%14.2%-3.8 pp
Away10.1%7.5%-2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.535.8%
BTTS40.3%
Historical average
2.28–0.63
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.4%
2-014.9%
2-110.4%
4-09.0%
3-06.7%
Comparable corner averages
7.28–3.10
Average total10.37
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=134.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.533.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%51.0%–79.4% CI
Draw FT28.2%16.5%–43.8% CI
Away FT5.1%1.4%–16.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.5%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home74.4%
Away20.5%