League One · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 15:00
12.1344.0%
X3.4027.6%
23.3028.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Port Vale
WDLLDLDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Exeter
LLWWWLLWWD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
6.30N=10
6.80
Against
6.20
11.70
Total
12.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Port Vale attack
1.30goals per matchExeter conceded1.30Matchup
Exeter attack
1.50goals per matchPort Vale conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
6.80
Corners against
6.20
11.70
Match total
12.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.90
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.80N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
19.90
Match total
20.20
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.70
On target
3.80
10%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches829
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.0%43.2%-0.8 pp
Draw27.6%30.2%+2.6 pp
Away28.4%26.7%-1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS53.0%
Historical average
1.41–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.5%
1-011.1%
2-110.6%
0-08.9%
0-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.44–4.35
Average total9.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=829.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.529.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches276
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.9%30.4%–41.7% CI
Draw FT38.4%32.9%–44.3% CI
Away FT25.7%20.9%–31.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals35.1%
3+ goals12.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.5%
Away42.0%