League One · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 15:00
12.1344.0%
X3.4027.6%
23.3028.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Port Vale
WDLLDLDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Exeter
LLWWWLLWWD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
6.30N=10
6.80
Against
6.20
11.70
Total
12.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Port Vale attack

1.30goals per match
Exeter conceded1.30
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.50goals per match
Port Vale conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
6.80
Corners against
6.20
11.70
Match total
12.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.90
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
19.90
Match total
20.20

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.70
On target
3.80
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches829
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.0%43.2%-0.8 pp
Draw27.6%30.2%+2.6 pp
Away28.4%26.7%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS53.0%

Historical average

1.411.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
1-011.1%
2-110.6%
0-08.9%
0-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.444.35
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=829.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches276
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.9%30.4%–41.7% CI
Draw FT38.4%32.9%–44.3% CI
Away FT25.7%20.9%–31.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals35.1%
3+ goals12.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.5%
Away42.0%