League One · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 15:00
12.7634.0%
X3.6925.5%
22.3240.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Oxford
WLLDDWDLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Peterboro
WWWWDLLWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
7.00N=10
5.00
Against
3.20
9.40
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
3.50
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Oxford attack

2.00goals per match
Peterboro conceded1.30
Matchup

Peterboro attack

1.70goals per match
Oxford conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
7.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
3.20
9.40
Match total
10.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
0.90N=10
5.00
Match total
2.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
22.70
Match total
19.60

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
15.40N=10
6.50
On target
5.20
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches92
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.0%33.7%-0.3 pp
Draw25.5%37.0%+11.5 pp
Away40.5%29.3%-11.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.533.7%
BTTS69.6%

Historical average

1.471.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
2-212.0%
2-110.9%
1-210.9%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.004.54
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=92.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%8.9%–39.1% CI
Draw FT56.0%37.1%–73.3% CI
Away FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.0%
2+ goals48.0%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.0%
Away56.0%